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Super Tuesday May Produce Super Deadlock

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It ain’t going to be over even after Super Tuesday next week. Last night’s Florida GOP votes was a boost for Juan McCain but the results were hardly a crowning victory. With both parties emotionally splintered, next week’s votes in more than 20 states could produce 2700 winning, or at least, equalizing delegates for any of the five top presidential candidates.

  • McCain (R-AZ) 93
  • Romney (R) 57
  • Huckabee (R) 40
  • Obama (D-IL) 63
  • Clinton (D-NY) 48
  • John Edwards (D-NC) 26

More than 70 million registered voters in more than 20 states will choose more than 2,700 Democratic and Republican convention delegates on Super Tuesday, almost 10 times more than in all the primaries and caucuses so far.

Virtually all states voting on Super Tuesday have adopted detailed — and different — rules for awarding delegates. The rules are so dense, in fact, that few observers agree on how many convention delegates will be picked that day. The best estimate: 1,029 GOP delegates pledged to specific candidates, and 1,678 pledged Democratic delegates.That’s just more than 40 percent of all the delegates in each party.

With the anti-Juan McCain conservative Republicans, Romney could easily garner the nomination but even Huckabee isn’t out of the race with fundamentalists, moderates and independants. On the Democrat side, anti-Billary voters going for Obama, there will be moderate Democrats and independents purposely voting to keep the Clinton dynasty out of the White House. Southern states could go either way for Obama, with supposed racism turning votes away or minorities voting for Obama because of race.

How many delegates do the candidates need to win their party’s nomination?

  • McCain (R-AZ) 1088
  • Romney (R) 1122
  • Huckabee (R) 1141
  • Obama (D-IL) 2052
  • Clinton (D-NY) 2067
  • John Edwards (D-NC) 2089

Buckle up, folks – it’s going to be a bumpy ride.

Shamnesty’s Voice McCain Aide Puts Mexico First


Written by smalltalkwitht

January 30, 2008 at 8:19 am

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